The article discusses rising concerns about a potential recession in the u.s. economy due to tariffs imposed under the Trump administration, despite some optimism from Trump and his advisers. Experts note significant warning signs and suggest that the risk for recession has increased due to White House policies.

Mentioned as the President during the discussion on tariffs and the recession.

Raised its 12-month recession probability from 15 percent to 20 percent.

Mentioned in relation to slashing the federal workforce.

Warned about the impact of proposed tariffs on the economy.

Cited as the chief economist warning about job market indicators for a recession.